Mid champions ranked by the win chance each adds over the average mid. The model takes out who plays it (mastery, rank, games on the champion) and the rest of the draft. A champion full of one-tricks gets no credit for their skill.
Win rate lies explains why this isn’t in win-rate order.
S 0A 8B 21C 10D 0· 39 champions · strength is the win chance it adds once players are taken out · ±Margin (±)The real number is very likely inside this range. More games make it narrower. is the margin · sort by any column
1LissandraA51% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+1.4%±1.8+1.5% ±3.552.0% ±2.2PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.4.0%2,046
2VexA46% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+1.3%±2.0+3.1% ±3.652.9% ±2.7PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.2.5%1,279
3AhriA59% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+1.3%±1.5+1.4% ±3.151.5% ±1.6PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.7.0%3,578
4LockeA56% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+1.2%±1.6·50.9% ±1.8PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.5.7%2,928
5ViktorA58% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+1.1%±1.4+2.9% ±3.350.8% ±1.5PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.8.0%4,069
6LeBlancA47% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+0.9%±1.7+1.9% ±3.451.3% ±2.0PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.4.5%2,286
7ZoeA41% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+0.9%±2.0+3.2% ±3.452.8% ±2.7PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.2.5%1,285
8XerathA41% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+0.75%±1.8+3.3% ±3.551.0% ±2.3PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.3.6%1,830
9AkaliB46% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+0.73%±1.7+3.3% ±3.350.8% ±2.0PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.4.6%2,340
10FizzB48% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+0.7%±1.8+3.8% ±3.451.6% ±2.3PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.3.7%1,869
11QiyanaB50% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+0.4%±2.1+3.6% ±3.551.2% ±2.9PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.2.2%1,138
12AuroraB52% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+0.4%±2.0+3.9% ±3.750.1% ±2.6PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.2.7%1,401
13EkkoB57% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+0.2%±1.8+4.3% ±3.351.0% ±2.3PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.3.5%1,773
14SyndraB66% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+0.2%±1.5+4.7% ±3.349.6% ±1.7PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.6.5%3,337
15Twisted FateB62% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+0.2%±1.6+0.5% ±3.350.3% ±1.9PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.5.0%2,552
16YoneB67% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+0.2%±1.5+3.9% ±3.250.2% ±1.7PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.6.8%3,487
17VladimirB55% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+0.1%±1.9+3.7% ±3.450.8% ±2.6PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.2.8%1,450
18VeigarB54% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+0.1%±2.0+5.0% ±3.650.0% ±2.7PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.2.5%1,286
19AnnieB49% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.0.0%±2.2·48.9% ±3.6PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.1.4%734
20HweiB56% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−0.1%±1.9+3.4% ±3.550.0% ±2.4PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.3.2%1,642
21GalioB58% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−0.1%±1.8+3.4% ±3.649.1% ±2.3PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.3.6%1,861
22Aurelion SolB48% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−0.2%±2.2+4.0% ±3.751.1% ±3.6PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.1.4%730
23KassadinB52% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−0.2%±2.0+3.2% ±3.549.8% ±2.8PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.2.4%1,228
24TaliyahB47% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−0.3%±2.3+3.1% ±3.749.9% ±3.7PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.1.4%719
25MalzaharB55% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−0.4%±1.8+2.5% ±3.549.3% ±2.3PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.3.6%1,839
26KatarinaB55% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−0.5%±1.7+3.4% ±3.250.4% ±2.0PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.4.9%2,510
27CassiopeiaB43% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−0.5%±2.3·48.9% ±4.1PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.1.1%568
28RyzeB47% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−0.5%±2.1·48.7% ±3.0PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.2.1%1,062
29YasuoB52% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−0.7%±1.5+3.1% ±3.049.5% ±1.7PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.6.6%3,375
30OriannaC40% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−0.77%±2.0+3.8% ±3.747.4% ±2.6PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.2.7%1,375
31ZedC51% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−1.0%±1.6+3.7% ±3.148.7% ±1.8PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.5.7%2,896
32SylasC52% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−1.0%±1.5+5.0% ±3.248.1% ±1.8PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.6.1%3,104
33LuxC46% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−1.1%±2.0+3.0% ±3.547.7% ±2.6PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.2.7%1,373
34AniviaC43% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−1.2%±2.1+3.2% ±3.647.3% ±3.1PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.1.9%974
35DianaC44% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−1.2%±2.1+3.2% ±3.647.7% ±2.9PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.2.2%1,137
36IreliaC44% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−1.2%±2.1+3.2% ±3.647.7% ±3.0PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.2.1%1,057
37AkshanC43% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−1.3%±2.1+4.1% ±3.647.6% ±3.2PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.1.8%930
38AzirC39% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−1.5%±2.4·44.8% ±4.3PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.1.0%513
39MelC40% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−1.7%±2.2·45.0% ±3.5PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.1.5%776
Strength comes from a model on 50,990 games with all ten players known. On games it wasn’t trained on, it picks the winner 57% of the time. That’s about as well as anyone can predict from a draft and its players. The biggest player effects it takes out (in win chance): each tripling of games on the champion +5.0%, a main +4.5%, a one-trick +3.4%, champion in their top 3 +3.1%, Master+ against Diamond +2.3%, Platinum against Diamond −1.7%. Mains add is how much more the champion’s mains win than its other players. That’s its learning curve. Win rate, picked and games come from the picks and results of 50,990 ranked games.
Many games come from the match histories of players we follow for one champion. Their own slot counts for no champion. That way a one-trick we follow doesn’t inflate their champion’s numbers. The other nine players count as usual. Picked is the share of all games where a team played the champion in this role.
How the tiers are made
This mark means strength. It’s the win chance a champion adds over its role’s average once we take out who plays it.
Champions are ranked on the win chance they add over their role’s average champion once we take out who plays them. A model on every game with all ten players known accounts for each player’s mastery, rank and games on the champion, and for the rest of the draft. So a champion doesn’t look stronger because one-tricks play it, or weaker because first-timers do. Tiers: S from +2%, A from +0.75%, B from −0.75%, C from −2%, D below. The “% likely” next to a tier is how likely the champion belongs in it. Under 50% means it sits near a tier border.