Top champions ranked by the win chance each adds over the average top. The model takes out who plays it (mastery, rank, games on the champion) and the rest of the draft. A champion full of one-tricks gets no credit for their skill.
Win rate lies explains why this isn’t in win-rate order.
S 1A 10B 23C 10D 0· 44 champions · strength is the win chance it adds once players are taken out · ±Margin (±)The real number is very likely inside this range. More games make it narrower. is the margin · sort by any column
1ZaahenS61% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+2.3%±2.0·54.1% ±2.7PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.2.5%1,300
2GangplankA48% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+1.9%±1.6+3.3% ±3.253.7% ±1.9PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.5.0%2,525
3PantheonA48% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+1.5%±1.9+1.1% ±3.552.7% ±2.4PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.3.1%1,600
4MalphiteA59% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+1.3%±1.5·51.3% ±1.7PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.6.5%3,333
5AatroxA55% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+1.1%±1.5+3.4% ±3.151.6% ±1.7PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.6.2%3,143
6RenektonA52% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+1.1%±1.6+3.1% ±3.451.3% ±1.9PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.5.1%2,588
7TeemoA47% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+1.0%±1.8+2.9% ±3.552.2% ±2.3PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.3.4%1,752
8NasusA47% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+0.9%±1.7+2.7% ±3.751.4% ±2.1PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.4.3%2,196
9Cho'GathA41% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+0.8%±1.9+4.3% ±3.651.1% ±2.6PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.2.8%1,410
10HeimerdingerA36% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+0.80%±2.4+3.0% ±3.854.3% ±4.3PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.1.0%527
11OrnnA41% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+0.77%±1.8+5.2% ±3.551.2% ±2.4PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.3.4%1,720
12KayleB43% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+0.7%±2.1+3.2% ±3.751.4% ±3.2PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.1.9%952
13RivenB44% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+0.7%±2.0+2.5% ±3.552.6% ±2.9PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.2.2%1,143
14CamilleB53% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+0.5%±1.7+3.6% ±3.250.9% ±2.1PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.4.4%2,260
15ShenB50% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+0.5%±1.9+2.7% ±3.451.4% ±2.4PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.3.3%1,676
16Dr. MundoB53% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+0.4%±1.9+2.5% ±3.750.2% ±2.4PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.3.3%1,666
17YoneB64% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+0.4%±1.4+3.2% ±3.150.5% ±1.5PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.8.2%4,170
18FioraB60% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+0.3%±1.7+3.6% ±3.250.5% ±2.0PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.4.7%2,403
19SionB54% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+0.1%±2.0+2.2% ±3.649.6% ±2.7PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.2.6%1,301
20OlafB56% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.0.0%±1.9+2.2% ±3.550.1% ±2.5PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.3.1%1,559
21SettB61% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.0.0%±1.7+3.3% ±3.350.6% ±2.1PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.4.2%2,147
22MordekaiserB60% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−0.1%±1.8+2.6% ±3.650.0% ±2.2PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.4.0%2,038
23KennenB51% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−0.1%±2.1+3.4% ±3.749.4% ±3.1PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.1.9%981
24SingedB51% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−0.3%±2.1+2.2% ±3.550.4% ±2.9PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.2.2%1,118
25GarenB62% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−0.3%±1.6+2.1% ±3.349.6% ±1.8PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.5.6%2,861
26GnarB54% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−0.4%±1.9+3.6% ±3.648.8% ±2.4PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.3.3%1,694
27VolibearB49% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−0.5%±1.9+3.6% ±3.548.7% ±2.5PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.3.1%1,578
28AkaliB47% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−0.6%±2.0+3.5% ±3.648.9% ±2.8PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.2.4%1,215
29DariusB52% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−0.6%±1.6+2.0% ±3.249.4% ±1.9PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.5.3%2,693
30GwenB45% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−0.6%±2.1+3.8% ±3.648.8% ±3.0PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.2.1%1,090
31YasuoB47% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−0.6%±1.9+4.4% ±3.449.4% ±2.4PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.3.1%1,604
32IllaoiB43% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−0.72%±2.1+4.2% ±3.649.1% ±2.9PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.2.2%1,130
33K'SanteB46% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−0.74%±1.7+5.1% ±3.448.7% ±2.1PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.4.3%2,191
34GragasB43% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−0.74%±2.0+2.0% ±3.648.7% ±2.8PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.2.3%1,191
35AmbessaC42% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−0.75%±1.7+5.3% ±3.548.2% ±2.1PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.4.4%2,232
36RumbleC37% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−0.78%±2.2+4.0% ±3.747.6% ±3.4PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.1.6%817
37TrundleC37% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−0.79%±2.3·47.8% ±3.7PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.1.4%695
38YorickC40% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−0.80%±2.0+3.5% ±3.648.5% ±2.8PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.2.4%1,226
39JaxC47% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−0.9%±1.6+4.4% ±3.248.8% ±1.9PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.5.5%2,786
40IreliaC48% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−1.0%±1.7+4.1% ±3.348.7% ±2.1PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.4.1%2,092
41JayceC56% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−1.1%±1.5+2.4% ±3.148.6% ±1.7PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.6.6%3,357
42TryndamereC49% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−1.4%±1.9+4.9% ±3.448.2% ±2.4PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.3.1%1,603
43UrgotC46% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−1.4%±2.0+2.0% ±3.547.7% ±2.8PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.2.4%1,218
44KledC43% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−1.4%±2.2+4.4% ±3.647.3% ±3.3PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.1.7%869
Strength comes from a model on 50,990 games with all ten players known. On games it wasn’t trained on, it picks the winner 57% of the time. That’s about as well as anyone can predict from a draft and its players. The biggest player effects it takes out (in win chance): each tripling of games on the champion +5.0%, a main +4.5%, a one-trick +3.4%, champion in their top 3 +3.1%, Master+ against Diamond +2.3%, Platinum against Diamond −1.7%. Mains add is how much more the champion’s mains win than its other players. That’s its learning curve. Win rate, picked and games come from the picks and results of 50,990 ranked games.
Many games come from the match histories of players we follow for one champion. Their own slot counts for no champion. That way a one-trick we follow doesn’t inflate their champion’s numbers. The other nine players count as usual. Picked is the share of all games where a team played the champion in this role.
How the tiers are made
This mark means strength. It’s the win chance a champion adds over its role’s average once we take out who plays it.
Champions are ranked on the win chance they add over their role’s average champion once we take out who plays them. A model on every game with all ten players known accounts for each player’s mastery, rank and games on the champion, and for the rest of the draft. So a champion doesn’t look stronger because one-tricks play it, or weaker because first-timers do. Tiers: S from +2%, A from +0.75%, B from −0.75%, C from −2%, D below. The “% likely” next to a tier is how likely the champion belongs in it. Under 50% means it sits near a tier border.