Jungle champions ranked by the win chance each adds over the average jungle. The model takes out who plays it (mastery, rank, games on the champion) and the rest of the draft. A champion full of one-tricks gets no credit for their skill.
Win rate lies explains why this isn’t in win-rate order.
S 0A 9B 23C 12D 0· 44 champions · strength is the win chance it adds once players are taken out · ±Margin (±)The real number is very likely inside this range. More games make it narrower. is the margin · sort by any column
1EkkoA44% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+1.9%±1.8+3.0% ±3.453.1% ±2.3PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.3.6%1,826
2NidaleeA49% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+1.7%±1.8+2.8% ±3.353.2% ±2.2PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.4.0%2,027
3LilliaA52% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+1.4%±1.7+2.7% ±3.552.1% ±2.1PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.4.2%2,126
4Cho'GathA57% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+1.3%±1.5·51.2% ±1.8PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.6.1%3,111
5WukongA59% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+1.2%±1.5+5.1% ±3.451.1% ±1.6PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.7.1%3,604
6QiyanaA55% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+1.0%±1.5+3.8% ±3.350.8% ±1.6PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.7.1%3,635
7TalonA50% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+0.9%±1.6+5.5% ±3.151.5% ±1.8PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.6.0%3,041
8GravesA49% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+0.8%±1.3+2.5% ±2.951.3% ±1.4PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.9.1%4,658
9EliseA43% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+0.79%±1.8+4.2% ±3.551.3% ±2.2PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.3.8%1,937
10Master YiB48% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+0.72%±1.6+5.0% ±3.152.0% ±1.8PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.5.7%2,883
11AmumuB43% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+0.6%±2.2·51.3% ±3.6PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.1.5%753
12KaynB59% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+0.4%±1.6+3.3% ±3.251.1% ±1.9PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.5.2%2,628
13ShacoB55% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+0.3%±1.8+2.9% ±3.451.2% ±2.3PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.3.5%1,794
14Kha'ZixB68% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+0.1%±1.5+5.5% ±3.150.2% ±1.6PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.7.2%3,691
15Rek'SaiB50% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.+0.1%±2.2+5.5% ±3.650.8% ±3.4PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.1.7%846
16ViB59% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.0.0%±1.8+3.0% ±3.649.7% ±2.2PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.3.7%1,910
17SkarnerB47% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.0.0%±2.3·49.7% ±4.0PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.1.2%594
18HecarimB63% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.0.0%±1.6+5.8% ±3.150.4% ±1.9PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.5.1%2,625
19WarwickB52% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−0.2%±2.0+2.2% ±3.650.6% ±2.9PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.2.3%1,167
20ShyvanaB57% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−0.2%±1.8+2.5% ±3.649.4% ±2.3PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.3.7%1,876
21KindredB53% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−0.2%±2.0+4.6% ±3.549.6% ±2.7PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.2.5%1,282
22NaafiriB54% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−0.3%±1.9·49.3% ±2.5PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.3.1%1,569
23SylasB63% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−0.3%±1.5+3.9% ±3.549.1% ±1.7PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.6.8%3,486
24EvelynnB49% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−0.4%±2.1+4.4% ±3.649.7% ±3.0PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.2.0%1,040
25Bel'VethB48% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−0.5%±2.0+3.3% ±3.549.9% ±2.8PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.2.4%1,203
26QuinnB42% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−0.5%±2.4·48.7% ±4.4PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.1.0%485
27Lee SinB58% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−0.6%±1.2+2.4% ±2.549.4% ±1.2PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.13.8%7,056
28Nunu & WillumpB44% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−0.6%±2.1+3.2% ±3.649.8% ±3.2PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.1.9%947
29ViegoB52% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−0.7%±1.4+2.7% ±3.049.2% ±1.6PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.7.4%3,798
30SejuaniB43% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−0.7%±2.2·48.4% ±3.4PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.1.6%835
31IvernB41% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−0.7%±2.3+4.0% ±3.749.2% ±4.0PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.1.2%589
32ZacB43% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−0.73%±2.0+4.0% ±3.549.6% ±2.7PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.2.6%1,304
33UdyrC39% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−0.9%±2.1+4.5% ±3.649.7% ±3.1PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.1.9%989
34KarthusC39% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−1.0%±2.3+4.3% ±3.747.7% ±3.7PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.1.4%713
35BriarC47% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−1.1%±1.8+1.6% ±3.449.2% ±2.3PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.3.5%1,788
36NocturneC47% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−1.1%±1.8+3.7% ±3.647.9% ±2.4PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.3.4%1,724
37DianaC44% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−1.1%±2.0+2.9% ±3.747.5% ±2.8PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.2.3%1,185
38Xin ZhaoC44% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−1.1%±2.0·47.3% ±2.9PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.2.3%1,158
39Jarvan IVC56% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−1.1%±1.5+3.6% ±3.548.0% ±1.7PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.6.4%3,280
40FiddlesticksC43% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−1.1%±2.1+2.9% ±3.648.9% ±3.1PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.1.9%991
41RengarC50% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−1.2%±1.8+6.5% ±3.248.6% ±2.2PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.3.8%1,922
42RammusC42% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−1.2%±2.2+1.2% ±3.747.2% ±3.4PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.1.6%814
43JayceC45% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−1.3%±2.1·46.8% ±3.0PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.2.1%1,095
44ZedC43% likelyStrengthThe win chance it adds over its role’s average. Its players’ mastery, rank and games on the champion don’t count.−1.6%±2.1+3.5% ±3.747.2% ±3.1PickedPick rateHow often this champion is picked when someone plays the role.2.0%1,016
Strength comes from a model on 50,990 games with all ten players known. On games it wasn’t trained on, it picks the winner 57% of the time. That’s about as well as anyone can predict from a draft and its players. The biggest player effects it takes out (in win chance): each tripling of games on the champion +5.0%, a main +4.5%, a one-trick +3.4%, champion in their top 3 +3.1%, Master+ against Diamond +2.3%, Platinum against Diamond −1.7%. Mains add is how much more the champion’s mains win than its other players. That’s its learning curve. Win rate, picked and games come from the picks and results of 50,990 ranked games.
Many games come from the match histories of players we follow for one champion. Their own slot counts for no champion. That way a one-trick we follow doesn’t inflate their champion’s numbers. The other nine players count as usual. Picked is the share of all games where a team played the champion in this role.
How the tiers are made
This mark means strength. It’s the win chance a champion adds over its role’s average once we take out who plays it.
Champions are ranked on the win chance they add over their role’s average champion once we take out who plays them. A model on every game with all ten players known accounts for each player’s mastery, rank and games on the champion, and for the rest of the draft. So a champion doesn’t look stronger because one-tricks play it, or weaker because first-timers do. Tiers: S from +2%, A from +0.75%, B from −0.75%, C from −2%, D below. The “% likely” next to a tier is how likely the champion belongs in it. Under 50% means it sits near a tier border.