Items that ride the lead

Some items are mostly bought when the game is already going well, which makes their win rate look great. From the purchase on, those games went no better than expected. Buying them when ahead doesn’t add anything. They look good only because that’s when they’re bought.

Role

Items bought when ahead that add nothing after the purchase

Win chance when bought, win rate, and how games went from the purchase

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  1. Axiom ArcZed mid · 3rd item · bought at 58.3% win chance · 54.3% win rate−3.9% ±5.5vs expectedZed players who bought Axiom Arc as their 3rd item were at 58.3% win chance. From then on, their games went 3.9% worse than that (±5.5).How games with this option ended against their win chance when it was chosen. It’s a hint. The verdict reads the win chance number.vs expected
  2. Mikael's BlessingKarma support · 2nd item · bought at 56.5% win chance · 54.5% win rate−2.0% ±5.0vs expectedKarma players who bought Mikael's Blessing as their 2nd item were at 56.5% win chance. From then on, their games went 2.0% worse than that (±5.0).How games with this option ended against their win chance when it was chosen. It’s a hint. The verdict reads the win chance number.vs expected
  3. Voltaic CycloswordJayce top · 2nd item · bought at 56.3% win chance · 54.4% win rate−1.9% ±4.7vs expectedJayce players who bought Voltaic Cyclosword as their 2nd item were at 56.3% win chance. From then on, their games went 1.9% worse than that (±4.7).How games with this option ended against their win chance when it was chosen. It’s a hint. The verdict reads the win chance number.vs expected
  4. Locket of the Iron SolariLeona support · 2nd item · bought at 60.8% win chance · 60.5% win rate−0.4% ±5.6vs expectedLeona players who bought Locket of the Iron Solari as their 2nd item were at 60.8% win chance. From then on, their games went 0.4% worse than that (±5.6).How games with this option ended against their win chance when it was chosen. It’s a hint. The verdict reads the win chance number.vs expected
  5. Youmuu's GhostbladePyke support · 1st item · bought at 58.5% win chance · 51.1% win rate−7.4% ±4.8vs expectedPyke players who bought Youmuu's Ghostblade as their 1st item were at 58.5% win chance. From then on, their games went 7.4% worse than that (±4.8).How games with this option ended against their win chance when it was chosen. It’s a hint. The verdict reads the win chance number.vs expected
  6. Endless HungerEzreal bot · 3rd item · bought at 59.0% win chance · 55.8% win rate−3.2% ±2.8vs expectedEzreal players who bought Endless Hunger as their 3rd item were at 59.0% win chance. From then on, their games went 3.2% worse than that (±2.8).How games with this option ended against their win chance when it was chosen. It’s a hint. The verdict reads the win chance number.vs expected
  7. MalignanceMalzahar mid · 1st item · bought at 51.4% win chance · 45.2% win rate−6.2% ±5.5vs expectedMalzahar players who bought Malignance as their 1st item were at 51.4% win chance. From then on, their games went 6.2% worse than that (±5.5).How games with this option ended against their win chance when it was chosen. It’s a hint. The verdict reads the win chance number.vs expected
  8. Voltaic CycloswordAmbessa top · 2nd item · bought at 55.6% win chance · 55.6% win rate0.0% ±4.9vs expectedAmbessa players who bought Voltaic Cyclosword as their 2nd item were at 55.6% win chance. From then on, their games went 0.0% worse than that (±4.9).How games with this option ended against their win chance when it was chosen. It’s a hint. The verdict reads the win chance number.vs expected
  9. Navori FlickerbladeLucian bot · 3rd item · bought at 58.4% win chance · 53.8% win rate−4.6% ±4.9vs expectedLucian players who bought Navori Flickerblade as their 3rd item were at 58.4% win chance. From then on, their games went 4.6% worse than that (±4.9).How games with this option ended against their win chance when it was chosen. It’s a hint. The verdict reads the win chance number.vs expected
  10. Infinity EdgeXayah bot · 2nd item · bought at 54.7% win chance · 53.4% win rate−1.4% ±4.7vs expectedXayah players who bought Infinity Edge as their 2nd item were at 54.7% win chance. From then on, their games went 1.4% worse than that (±4.7).How games with this option ended against their win chance when it was chosen. It’s a hint. The verdict reads the win chance number.vs expected
  11. Phantom DancerGaren top · 3rd item · bought at 58.6% win chance · 56.2% win rate−2.4% ±5.4vs expectedGaren players who bought Phantom Dancer as their 3rd item were at 58.6% win chance. From then on, their games went 2.4% worse than that (±5.4).How games with this option ended against their win chance when it was chosen. It’s a hint. The verdict reads the win chance number.vs expected
  12. Voltaic CycloswordAatrox top · 2nd item · bought at 58.5% win chance · 57.2% win rate−1.2% ±5.6vs expectedAatrox players who bought Voltaic Cyclosword as their 2nd item were at 58.5% win chance. From then on, their games went 1.2% worse than that (±5.6).How games with this option ended against their win chance when it was chosen. It’s a hint. The verdict reads the win chance number.vs expected
  13. Rabadon's DeathcapLocke mid · 3rd item · bought at 59.4% win chance · 56.4% win rate−3.0% ±4.7vs expectedLocke players who bought Rabadon's Deathcap as their 3rd item were at 59.4% win chance. From then on, their games went 3.0% worse than that (±4.7).How games with this option ended against their win chance when it was chosen. It’s a hint. The verdict reads the win chance number.vs expected
  14. ShadowflameSylas jungle · 2nd item · bought at 53.0% win chance · 52.1% win rate−0.9% ±4.1vs expectedSylas players who bought Shadowflame as their 2nd item were at 53.0% win chance. From then on, their games went 0.9% worse than that (±4.1).How games with this option ended against their win chance when it was chosen. It’s a hint. The verdict reads the win chance number.vs expected
  15. Hextech RocketbeltLissandra mid · 2nd item · bought at 56.7% win chance · 55.8% win rate−1.0% ±5.5vs expectedLissandra players who bought Hextech Rocketbelt as their 2nd item were at 56.7% win chance. From then on, their games went 1.0% worse than that (±5.5).How games with this option ended against their win chance when it was chosen. It’s a hint. The verdict reads the win chance number.vs expected
  16. RedemptionKarma support · 3rd item · bought at 61.5% win chance · 59.0% win rate−2.4% ±5.5vs expectedKarma players who bought Redemption as their 3rd item were at 61.5% win chance. From then on, their games went 2.4% worse than that (±5.5).How games with this option ended against their win chance when it was chosen. It’s a hint. The verdict reads the win chance number.vs expected
  17. Infinity EdgeYasuo mid · 2nd item · bought at 55.6% win chance · 54.8% win rate−0.8% ±2.6vs expectedYasuo players who bought Infinity Edge as their 2nd item were at 55.6% win chance. From then on, their games went 0.8% worse than that (±2.6).How games with this option ended against their win chance when it was chosen. It’s a hint. The verdict reads the win chance number.vs expected
  18. Rapid FirecannonCaitlyn bot · 3rd item · bought at 56.7% win chance · 55.6% win rate−1.1% ±2.4vs expectedCaitlyn players who bought Rapid Firecannon as their 3rd item were at 56.7% win chance. From then on, their games went 1.1% worse than that (±2.4).How games with this option ended against their win chance when it was chosen. It’s a hint. The verdict reads the win chance number.vs expected
  19. Sundered SkyCamille support · 1st item · bought at 55.0% win chance · 49.7% win rate−5.4% ±5.5vs expectedCamille players who bought Sundered Sky as their 1st item were at 55.0% win chance. From then on, their games went 5.4% worse than that (±5.5).How games with this option ended against their win chance when it was chosen. It’s a hint. The verdict reads the win chance number.vs expected
  20. Moonstone RenewerLulu support · 3rd item · bought at 60.6% win chance · 58.9% win rate−1.8% ±4.7vs expectedLulu players who bought Moonstone Renewer as their 3rd item were at 60.6% win chance. From then on, their games went 1.8% worse than that (±4.7).How games with this option ended against their win chance when it was chosen. It’s a hint. The verdict reads the win chance number.vs expected
  21. Infinity EdgeLucian bot · 2nd item · bought at 55.0% win chance · 51.6% win rate−3.4% ±3.9vs expectedLucian players who bought Infinity Edge as their 2nd item were at 55.0% win chance. From then on, their games went 3.4% worse than that (±3.9).How games with this option ended against their win chance when it was chosen. It’s a hint. The verdict reads the win chance number.vs expected

How it’s computed. The list takes first to third items in 10%+ of their slot’s games. Each was bought at a win chance at least 2 points above the slot’s other options, and its games then did worse than expected (WPA under zero). Items are ranked by how far ahead they’re bought. Each champion’s Explore tab has patch and rank slices of these. The guide

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